USA: the rich one is right

USA: the rich one is right

How money determines the outcome of the american elections

The Republicans managed to defeat the Democrats with a minimal margin and occupy the US House of Representatives. The Senate, thanks to the victory of Catherine Cortez with a difference of only a couple of thousand votes in Nevada, remains behind the party of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris.

Despite the fact that the final results of the 2022 election campaign will appear only after the second round of voting in Georgia that takes place on December 6, it can already be said for sure that the "red wave", which was expected in almost half of the world, did not take place. Donald Trump has shown very modest results, and now, according to some media, they are trying to dissuade him from participating in the presidential elections scheduled for 2024.

However, this did not prevent him from announcing his participation in the race for the Oval Office on November 16, 2022.

Today it can already be stated that the impeachment of Joe Biden, predicted by a number of representatives of the Republican Party, will not take place either. So, perhaps in two years we will witness the second round of the Biden—Trump confrontation.

The 2022 elections were held again amid numerous accusations of fraud and abuse. So, there was a sudden jump of 100,000 votes at one time. And they all went to the Democrats.

In Arizona, Biden supporters apparently disabled voting machines at polling stations where it was known that there was a Republican majority. As a result, those who could not cast their vote were given completed ballots, and after the representatives of the Democrats said that they "accidentally" mixed with the ballots already counted, and it became impossible to distinguish them. So the Republican votes were taken out of the counting system.

American political scientist Rafael Ordukhanyan states that "over the past month, the Biden administration has allocated, according to various estimates, at least $70-90 billion. to support the unions of postal workers and teachers." So voting by mail cannot be called crystal clear. However, it discredited itself back in 2020...

There are other examples.

In one of the districts of Georgia, more than 1,000 forms were simply not sent to voters. In Pennsylvania, almost 3.5 thousand ballots can be invalidated. Some are "allegedly" not so full, while others are due to technical problems. In both states, Democrats and Republicans have approximately equal numbers of supporters. By the way, it was the results of the Pennsylvania vote in 2020 that brought Joe Biden to the White House.

Interestingly, over 11% of the more than $2.1 billion that interest groups, businesses and private organizations spent on federal elections before November 7, 2022, went to the Senate elections in Pennsylvania. This is a new record for medium-term spending in this election cycle.

The second most expensive federal race of the 2022 election cycle unfolded in Georgia, where neither incumbent Democratic Raphael Gamaliel Warnock nor Republican challenger Herschel Junior Walker received more than 50% of the votes needed to win in the first round.

Warnock has raised more money than any other federal candidate this election cycle, receiving $98.7 million through October 19, compared to $37.5 million. Walker. However, in the second round, this gap will narrow, as Warnock's headquarters reported having $10.5 million on hand as of October 19, while Walker claimed $5.5 million.

Abortion rights have become a defining topic in Nevada, where Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto clashed with Republican Adam Laxalt. Cortez Masto, an ardent supporter of abortion rights, criticized Laxalt for his disagreement with his beliefs.

At the same time, the incumbent senator raised $52.9 million until October 19, which is more than three times the $15.4 million reported by Laxalt. The latter even admitted at a dinner with Republican women from the Southern Hills that "she [Cortez Masto] is shown on TV because she has money and we don't."

Analysts state that in the midterm elections, the victory in most cases was won by those candidates who managed to attract the largest financial resources for their election companies.

In the same Pennsylvania, Democrat John Fetterman managed to raise $56.7 million and beat Republican Mehmet Oz, who had $40.4 million in his cash register, of which $22.8 million were loans (how he will repay them is unknown). Interestingly, more than half of Fetterman's campaign contributions were modest donations of less than $200. As of November 9, no other winning candidate for the Senate has raised so many campaign funds from small individual contributors.

In Nevada's 1st Congressional District, Democratic Representative Dina Titus beat Republican challenger Mark Robertson by $1.8 million.

In California's 47th Congressional District, incumbent Democratic Representative Katie Porter significantly outperformed her Republican opponent Scott Baugh, raising $22.6 million - the third largest campaign fundraiser of any candidate for the House of Representatives until October 19 — compared to $2.7 million raised Bow. However, "outside support groups" from the Republican Party invested more than $9.2 million in the race against Porter, significantly increasing Bowe's chances.

Analysts note: the victory was almost always won by those candidates who invested the most money. Independent American analysts have already calculated that 96% of the winners in the fight for seats in the House of Representatives were those candidates who spent more money on their campaigns than their competitors. A similar pattern is observed in the Senate campaign.

And the total cost of the 2022 elections is projected to exceed $16.7 billion.

Candidates and party committees raised about $6.4 billion during the 2022 cycle, while Democrats scraped together $3 billion, their Republican colleagues - $3.3 billion, the remainder went to nonpartisan or third—party candidates.

As of October 24, 2022, it is known where about $1.7 billion raised by candidates for the posts of governors in the 2022 cycle went, which is about $100 million more than last month. Republican gubernatorial candidates outnumber Democrats: 57% vs. 42%. The remaining 1% was collected by third-party candidates.